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Enhancing Nuclear Safety


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Aggregation of expert opinions and uncertainty theories

LFA 2006 - Rencontres francophones sur la Logique Floue et ses Applications, Toulouse, 19-20 October 2006

Sébastien Destercke, Didier Dubois (1), Eric Chojnacki(2).

Document type > *Congrès/colloque

Keywords > safety, fusion, information, uncertainty

Research Unit > IRSN/DPAM/SEMIC

Authors > DESTERCKE Sébastien

Publication Date > 19/10/2006

Summary

The problem of expert opinions representation and aggregation has long been adressed in the only framework of probability theory. Nevertheless, recent years have witnessed many proposals in other uncertainty theories (possibility theory, evidence theory, imprecise probabilities). This paper casts the problem of aggregating expert opinions in a common underlying framework and shows how uncertainty theories fit into this framework. Differences between theories are then emphasized and discussed.

(1) : Université Paul Sabatier, 118 route de Narbonne 31062 Toulouse Cedex 9, France.
(2) : IRSN

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