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Influence de la représentation de la connaissance sur les résultats de calcul de risque.

Cédric Baudrit (thesis), Catherine Mercat-Rommens (LERCM), Eric Chojnacki (LMPC)
Rapport DEI/SESURE n°2005-14

Summary

In the field of the radioecology, uncertainty was especially apprehended within a purely probabilistic framework. This report presents the various mathematical theories which make it possible to represent dubious information: theory of probabilities, theory of possibilities, theory of belief function. The influence of the choice of these various mathematical models to represent knowledge is then studied on the example of the transfer of strontium 90 from an atmospheric deposit to the man through the cow's milk consumption.

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