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La Recherchev2

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Quantification of rare accidental events on nuclear power plant, using Monte Carlo simulation.


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M. Beranger, B. Laurent, ESREL 2001, 16-20/09/2001, Turin (Italy).

Résumé

In this paper, we propose a methodology to estimate the probability of occurrence of a rare physical events in a complex system described with specific probability models. The proposed methodology combines importance sampling techniques (through experimental design techniques) and Monte Carlo simulation.